Modeling for the epidemic progression has significant limitations since it cannot take into consideration different varying factors at the country level which greatly influence the course of the outbreak, and which in turn affect the results of the modeling. In fact, WHO has never recommended publishing any models on pandemic progression for any particular country due to these limitations as well as a multitude of factors (e.g. effect of physical distancing measures on the epidemic progression, cluster outbreaks among high-risk population groups etc.). For this reason, WHO’s position on modeling is very clear – it should only be used as a broad reference, for example in order to estimate the needs of the country based on the ‘worst case scenario’, or ‘community transmission’.
351 new coronavirus cases have been diagnosed in Armenia in the past 24 hours, the highest number of daily cases so far, the National Center for Disease Control and Prevention said.
